(ReclaimingAmerica.net) – In a bombshell declaration, as President Joe Biden faces his lowest approval ratings during his term, Nate Silver, statistician and founder of FiveThirtyEight, has suggested that Biden withdrawing from the race could be the best chance for the Democratic Party to win the White House in November.
With only five months remaining until the 2024 election, Biden’s approval rating has recently plummeted to a historic low, as evidenced by FiveThirtyEight’s aggregation of polls, which now shows the president at a 37.6% approval rating.
This significant decline has prompted Silver to propose on X that considering the 81-year-old president’s withdrawal is a topic worth discussing—even though it would represent a substantial gamble for the Democrats, The Daily Wire reports.
“But there’s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk. Are we there yet? I don’t know. But it’s more than fair to ask,” the statistician wrote.
“If I’d told you 10 years ago a president would seek re-election at 81 despite a supermajority of Americans having concerns about his age, and then we’d hit 8% inflation for 2 years, you wouldn’t be surprised he was an underdog for reelection. You’d be surprised it was even close!” he added.
Silver faced criticism from one X user who questioned the appropriateness of suggesting Biden should drop out after Donald Trump was convicted of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in the New York hush money case.
“‘Trump should drop out too!’ is such a weird dunk on people who are pointing out that Biden has big challenges. Yes, Trump should drop out! I agree! Biden would lose by 7 points, but I agree, the Republican Party and the country would be better served by a different nominee,” Silver responded.
He reiterated a point he has made repeatedly over the past few months: Biden’s decision to run for re-election has compromised the Democratic Party’s prospects for 2024.
“What’s clearer IMO is that Democrats would have been better served if Biden had decided a year ago not to seek a second term, which would have allowed them to have some semblance of a primary process and give voters a say among the many popular Democrats across the country,” he added.
In February, Silver alerted Democrats to the likelihood of Biden losing to Trump in a potential rematch.
“If you’d asked me a year ago, I would have told you that Joe Biden was a reasonably clear favorite in the event of a rematch against Donald Trump,” he noted in his “Silver Bulletin” newsletter.
However, he acknowledged that in recent months, “Biden’s situation has become considerably worse.”
“If he were 10 years younger, he might still be a 65/35 favorite. But if his campaign is substantially encumbered by his age, he’s probably the underdog,” Silver concluded.
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